Discerning The Fundementals

To make good bets on how a wave of change will play out you must acquire enough expertise to question the experts.  

The work of discerning whether there are important changes afoot involves getting into the gritty details.  To make good bets on how a wave of change will play out you must acquire enough expertise to question the experts.  

As changes begin to occur, the air will be full of comments about what is happening, but you must be able to dig beneath the surface and discover the fundamental forces at work.  Leaders who stay "above the details" may do well in stable times, but riding a wave of change requires an intimate feel for its origins and dynamics. 

ACTION POINT: Dig below the surface of change and understand the details of what is driving it.